East Africa Trends Report – Projecting the Future
East Africa is changing fast. Populations are growing, cities are expanding, markets are shifting, and climate shocks are landing harder and more often. None of this is random. These changes follow signals already visible in demographics, data, governance, and the way people work and capital moves.
This report examines the underlying forces set to shape East Africa’s development over the next 10–20 years. Rather than reacting to short-term headlines, it focuses on the deeper trends that quietly determine which opportunities take off, which constraints intensify, and how competitive, inclusive and resilient growth can be achieved.
Drawing on evidence across economic transformation, trade, finance, skills, technology, climate and urbanisation, the analysis is intended to help governments, funders and partners separate noise from direction — and make choices that hold up over time. Because transformation doesn’t start with solutions; it starts with understanding the terrain.
